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So how do we measure sprawl? With precision?
Oct 18th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

Kenneth
Chang, of the NYTimes, had an interesting “Ideas & Treands” piece
yesterday.  He was writing about the evolution of standards and
precision in measurement.  Just how long is a meter — a REAL
meter?  There can be measurement of physical things, of course,
like distance or weight.  But perhaps journalists should be
talking about the standard defintion of concepts such as “urban sprawl”
or a “landslide victory.”



October 16, 2005


Measuring the World: From Material to Ethereal



LOCKED in a vault in Paris is a cylinder about the size of a plum. Its mass is exactly one kilogram. It is the kilogram.

For 116 years, this cylinder made of platinum and iridium has been
the world's defining unit of mass. It's an easy concept to understand.

Scientists at the National Institute of Standards and Technology in
Gaithersburg, Md., announced last month significant progress toward
supplanting this cylinder. Their concept is not so easy to understand.

It's a two-story-tall contraption that looks one part Star Trek, one
part Wallace and Gromit. Briefly put, it measures the power needed to
generate an electromagnetic force that balances the gravitational pull
on a kilogram of mass.

“It's such a very complicated thing that's hard to explain,” said
Richard Steiner, the physicist in charge of the project. He has been
working on this “electronic kilogram” machine for more than a decade.

“That's what everybody kind of laughs at,” Dr. Steiner said.
“They're all impressed it's such a complicated thing and then they ask,
'What do you need it for?' “

The general answer is that humans have always needed to quantify and
standardize, to make their world more certain. Without a standard
kilogram – roughly 2.2 pounds – how would scientists know their
measurements of mass were accurate? Without a standard meter, how would
a manufacturer make a ruler and know that it is precise?

More specifically, the high-tech kilogram is needed because
scientists prefer a definition based on the universal constants of
physics – something they could in principle calibrate in their own
laboratories – rather than on an artifact sitting in a distant vault.

Another problem with the kilogram cylinder is that it is not
necessarily unchanging. Over time, contamination might add smidgeons of
mass, or cleaning might scrub away some atoms, leaving a lesser
kilogram. Better, scientists say, not to have to worry about dust, dirt
or disaster striking the Paris vault.

The kilogram, in fact, is decades behind the meter, which used to be
defined as the distance between two scratches on a metal bar. In 1960,
scientists defined the meter in terms of the wavelength of a specific
orange light emitted by krypton atoms. In 1983, they redefined the
speed of light to be exactly 299,792,458 meters per second, so a meter
is now just the distance that light travels in a vacuum in
1/299,792,458th of a second.

The newer definitions hark back to the original metric definitions,
which were based on features of the natural world, not human artifacts.
A kilogram was the mass of water filling a cube that is one-tenth of a
meter on each side, or one liter of volume, and a meter was one
ten-millionth of the distance from the North Pole to the Equator, along
the path passing through Paris (since it was the French Academy of
Sciences that defined the meter).

Neither definition proved practical, and the French scientists
botched their calculation of how much the Earth is squashed by the
centrifugal force of its rotation, so the metal bar they made to
represent a meter was off by a fraction of a millimeter.

It is also not easy to measure precisely a liter of pure water,
which is complicated by impurities and gases dissolved in the water and
by how water density changes with temperature and pressure. Instead,
that platinum-iridium cylinder was established as the official
definition, in 1889.

The search for standards began with the rise of civilization.
Measures were needed, especially for commerce. At first, people simply
used parts of the body. A cubit, for example, was the distance from the
elbow to the tip of the middle finger – which differed from person to
person, until an Egyptian pharaoh declared a cubit to be the distance
from his elbow to the tip of his middle finger (and possibly the width
of his palm).

It was hardly convenient to borrow the pharaoh's arm to measure a
bolt of cloth, so a piece of granite was carved and declared the
official cubit. Other people would make their own cubit rulers, usually
out of wood, based on the granite standard.

The same idea underlay the standards for the kilogram and the meter
– a cylinder and a bar, respectively. “Those were not bad standards at
the time,” said John L. Hall, a scientist at the Institute of Standards
and Technology and a winner of this year's Nobel Prize in Physics, who
helped refine the definition of the meter two decades ago. “But they're
kind of hard to duplicate and disseminate.”

Dr. Steiner's team with its two-story contraption has now fixed the
mass of a kilogram to 99.999995 percent accuracy. To satisfy the
international body that sets measurement standards, they probably need
to raise that last “5” to an “8.”

As science measures ever tinier bits of the universe, measurement
must become more precise. If scientists can define units in terms of
constants like the speed of light and the charge of the electron, then
they can better study whether constants really are constant. “It's a
much more serious question than it appears to be,” Dr. Hall said.”



War and Power Laws and Journalism
Oct 15th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

The concept of Power Law distributions
is attracting growing interest, especially among folks in the
Complexity and Complex Adaptive Systems communities.  For
journalists, some of the math involved is somewhat more complex than
the elementary descriptive statistics we deal with, but it's not that
tough to grasp the implications of research probing Power Laws as they
apply to various phenomena.

Here's a perspective on global warfare that might prompt some deep contemplation for journalists.

Original source:

http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/globalguerrillas/2005/09/wars_new_equili.html



WAR'S NEW EQUILIBRIUM

“In
technology, particularly in information based systems, advances can
occur almost overnight. This likely applies to warfare as it becomes
more information-based. As in technology, patterns and methods of
warfare tend to stay within bounded equilibria depending on the type of
war being fought. When an improvement arrives, the equilibrium point
changes and warfare undergoes a rapid shift.


One of the ways to measure a equilibrium point was first demonstrated
by Lewis Richardson over 50 years ago. He calculated that the
distribution of casualties in conventional wars follow a power law
distribution. Updates to his work show that this pattern of
distribution continues to hold.

In a new paper by Johnson, Spagat, and others called “From Old Wars to New Wars and Global Terrorism,” (
PDF
) — http://xxx.lanl.gov/pdf/physics/0506213/ — the authors demonstrate that a new pattern of war is emerging. To do
this, they analyzed the frequency-intensity distributions of wars
(including terrorism) and examined their power law curves. They found
that conventional wars had a power law exponent of 1.8. An analysis of
terrorism since 1968 found that the exponents were 1.71 (for G7
countries) and 2.5 (for non-G7 countries). This makes sense,
conventional wars and G7 terrorism are both characterized by periods of
relative non-activity followed by high casualty events (highly
orchestrated battles). Non-G7 terrorism is a more decentralized and ad
hoc type of warfare characterized by numerous small engagements and
fewer large casualty events.


Powerlaw

Here's
where the analysis gets interesting. When the author's examined the
data from Colombia and Iraq, they found that both wars evolved towards
the coefficient for non-G7 terrorism (although from different
directions). This finding doesn't fit the prevailing theories of
warfare. A conventional understanding of fourth generation warfare
, such the one posited by Thomas Hammes in the Sling and the Stone
posit that 4th generation warfare began in earnest with Mao. However, within
Mao's formulation

(and Ho Chi Minh's variant), guerrilla wars are but a prelude to
conventional war to seize control of the state. The power law for these
wars should, based on this theory, tend towards the coefficient we see
for conventional wars. In fact, we see the opposite. Guerrilla wars in
both Colombia and Iraq have stabilized at a coefficient far from
conventional warfare.

This has broad implications for 4th
generation warfare theory — which clearly dominated the types of wars
we saw in the latter half of the twentieth century. The patterns of
conflict we see today in Colombia and Iraq are a break from the
previous framework (which may be an example of punctuated equilibrium).
Unlike the previous models of guerrilla wars which sought to replace
the state, these new wars have moved to a level of decentralization
that makes them both unable to replace the state and extremely hard to
eliminate. Is this new evolutionary equilibrium a fifth generation of
warfare? It is extremely likely. This new form of warfare, or what I
call open source warfare, is what this site (and my book) is dedicated
to understanding.”



Searching podcasts? Yes, the tools are coming along.
Oct 12th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

Print
journalists often ignore audio (and video) content when researching a
story.  Partially there is the “medium bias” at play (i.e. “Hey, I
work in print, so that must be the most important source.”), but that
bias also has something to do with the lack of search tools and the
difficulty of getting those audio words into a transcript that can flow
into text.  Still, there is gold in those sight-and-sound files
for a reporter who can find them and take the time to extract the ore.




The always helpful blog
“PI News Link” run by Tamara Thompson posts the following:


“A new form of audio files called podcasts,
so named because they can be downloaded from the Internet to a portable
digital listening device (such as an iPod), are searchable through many
search engines.
Yahoo has just rolled out their podcast search. A keyword search of “legal” returned Involuntary Manslaughter: A Double Standard?, a broadcast with the editor of Massachusetts Lawyers Weekly. The Podcast Search Service catalogs a more extensive collection of websites with podcasts, searching terms within the site title or description. Pod Spider includes international audio files. Individual podcasts are beginning to be tagged, which will enable the searcher to uncover specific relevant audio files.”




Finnally, somebody is starting to get it. Sorry, Yanks, it's in the UK
Oct 11th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

A
posting today announcing an academic chair at the University of Central
Lancashire Department of Journalism seems to indicate that someone in
the industry there is starting to ask the right questions and seeking
to leverage the strengths of the profession and its academic
counterpart.




In a time when the U.S. journalism establishment is just contributing to academic redundancies (see “Columbia and CUNY Get Grants in Journalism“), 
UK Publisher Johnston Press is asking if there might not be a better
way to think about, understand and deliver journalism.




From a press release:



SPONSORED CHAIR IN DIGITAL JOURNALISM DEVELOPMENT



” The University of Central Lancashire Department of Journalism is to join forces with major UK Publisher Johnston Press in an

exciting new initiative that aims to exploit the benefits of new and emerging digital technology.



The three-year collaboration, worth around *200,000, includes the future appointment of the Johnston Press Chair in Digital Journalism Development at the University.



Tim Bowdler, Chief Executive of Johnston Press, said: “The rapid evolution of digital technology presents huge opportunities and challenges to traditional media companies.



“Through the newly established Chair in Digital Journalism, Johnston Press is delighted to partner with the Department of Journalism and to give added impetus to its already well

recognised commitment to exploring new forms of factual content creation, production and dissemination.



“Johnston Press is determined to take maximum advantage of the new opportunities which digital developments present and our partnership with the University will undoubtedly further this aim.”



In post by January 2006 and funded by Johnston Press, the Chair will form the cornerstone of the partnership between the two organisations. UCLan will also fund a research assistant to assist the Chair in drawing up a research strategy that defines new approaches/methods to:



• the exploration of digital applications for content acquisition (e.g. multi skilled reporters and reporting technologies)



• the exploration of digital applications for content production (copy flow, editorial management and logistics in the multi-media

newsroom of the future)



• exploring digital applications for content dissemination, including multi-media content converged onto one dissemination platform (e.g. the Web); but also the simultaneous dissemination of content on multiple platforms (e.g. hard copy, the Web and mobile)



Major implications



Head of the Department of Journalism Mike Ward said: “By the end of this decade, it’s forecast that there will be up to 1.5 billion computers connected via high-speed broadband and another 2.5 billion phones with more processing power than today’s PCs. This will undoubtedly have major implications for journalists and

publishers alike.



“UCLan’s partnership with Johnston Press, which combines the expertise of one of the top journalism departments in the country with one of the UK’s major regional newspaper groups, presents us with a unique opportunity to investigate, challenge and inform development and debate in digital applications.



“The fruits of the partnership will be relevant, accessible and forward-looking analysis. Together we will produce materials for teaching, knowledge transfer and further research.”

________________



\_ Alan Rawlinson

\_ Course leader, MA in Online Journalism

\_ University of Central Lancashire

\_ www.ukjournalism.org

\_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_



\_ agrawlinson@uclan.ac.uk

\_ alan@rawlinson.co.uk

\_ 01772 894757

\_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_ \_”






About maps and blogs and vlogs. (But no cabbages or kings.)
Oct 10th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

Here
at the IAJ, there is growing curiosity about vlogs, blog sites that
carry video.  And, of course, we're always interested in maps.




We recently ran across “Vlogmap.org,”
a cool mash-up that integrates vlog sites with Google's mapping
tools.  Worth a visit, we think, and some consideration about how
journalism organizations might apply the technology.




“What is Vlogmap.org?

VlogMap.org is an online resource which
shows where participating vloggers are located around the world, along
with links to key information about their video blogs. Anyone can
submit info to VlogMap.org to be listed on the map, as long as you run
a video blog.




Why Vlogmap.org?


VlogMap.org is intended to be a fun and interesting way to learn about
and explore the vlogging community and its online offerings.




How does it work?


VlogMap visitors can click on any red pin to get links to the web
address, the RSS feed, and the contact information for that location.
Additionally, a user of VlogMap is able to zero in, and examine areas
of vlogger concentration, such as New York City, Los Angeles, and
London. Anyone can
submit info to VlogMap.org to be listed on the map.”





Grumbling (again) about only getting half the story
Oct 9th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

We've
long appreciated Ford Fessenden's forceful analytic journalism at the
NYTimes, but a piece he has in today's Week in Review section leaves us
yearning for more. 




In “Where Home Prices Rise Steeply, Bankruptcies Fall,”
Ford raises some interesting — and appropriately inconclusive
questions — about the relationship between real estate prices and the
number of bankruptcies.  And we're given a nicely colored map of
U.S. counties and their changes in bankruptcy rates, 2000 to
2005.  The quartile scale is huge: zero to 35 percent and greater
than 35 percent, both up and down.  The problem is there are no
hard numbers to put the bankruptcies in context related to county
population.  And one or two counties down in southeastern Arizona
have a greater than 35 percent decline in bankruptcies, but we know
they have very sparce populations. 



“OK,”
you might say, “there's simply no room to put all those numbers in the
newspaper.” 

Right, but they surely could be put online in a
variety of ways.  If there were three bankruptcies in 2005 and two
in 2005, that's pretty close to a 35 percent decline, but hardly
statistically significant.



I'm sure
this isn't Ford's fault; he has the data and is probably far more aware
of its analytic pitfalls than we are.  But editors — Editors! —
have to begin thinking of stories as having many fascets, and work to
deliver the richest amount of data as possible that is related to the
stories and their context.






 

Getting mapping files at an affordable price: GeoTorrent.org
Oct 9th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

One
of the real challenges for journalists wanting/needing to do GIS is
getting the software and map files.  Often the major roadblock is
the newsroom budget.  We recently learned of a project that uses
the file-sharing capabilities of Bittorrent (the peer-to-peer file
sharing program) to make maps available at our favorite  price —
free.




Check out GeoTorrent.org 

“GeoTorrent.org information

What types of data are shared?


All different types of geospatial data is shared here. For example Air and satellite photo's, as well as attribute data.




What formats is the data in?


Imagery is in either ECW or JPEG 2000 format. Both formats allow high
levels of compression. For example 1 terabyte (1,000 gigabytes) of raw
data can be compressed to just 50 GB. JPEG 2000 also provides a
lossless compression algorithm, allowing for pixel-for-pixel fidelity
with the original dataset.



Attribute (vector) data can be distributed in any common data format e.g. shape, tab files or native data formats.




The files are often large, like the 5.5gb “North America Landsat
Mosaic,” but there appears to be a growing number of non-US data.

This looks to be a tool with potential.  Click here for the opening press release.







Overview of the Google Maps overview
Oct 6th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

Technology Review's
senior editor Wade Rousch delivers a fine overview of Google Earth in
the magazine's October issue.  The piece would be especially good
as an introcuction to the tool/concept for someone who is relatively
new to online mapping.  See “Killer Maps.” 






Web scraping with Excel [Saturday highlights from the Global Investigating Journalism conference]
Oct 1st, 2005 by JTJ



 
Tommy
Kaas, of the Danish
International Center for Analytical Reporting
, just
presented a fascinating session on how to use Excel tools to
“scrape”data off the web an import it into Excel, at least Excel XP. 
This is typically helpful where one needs to extract data from standardized tables
on dynamic web sites, for example those with demographic, economic or crime
data.

He has posted some handouts at dicar.org/global2005 or http://www.dicar.org/global2005/exercise_macroscraper2.htm

.
It's not yet clear to us if this is more efficient than writing PERL
or PHP scripts, but it's still an elegant hack.


 

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