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Games: They ain't kid-stuff
Oct 25th, 2006 by JTJ

The past week or two has brought some press stories about games being designed/developed as tools for learning, as in “productive learning,” not learning how to inflict terror or be a better car-jacker.  We recently ran across the site below, “Social Impact Games.”  It's well worth a visit, as are the others.

We think these have great potential for journalism as tools to help readers/viewers learn how government, eduction, schools, the legal system and nature work. 

Good links to simulation games:

*) Social Impact Games.  This one is a very rich jump site: http://www.socialimpactgames.com or http://tinyurl.com/ygpa75

*) http://www.playmassbalance.com/

*) http://www.budgetsim.org/nbs/

*) http://www.peacemakergame.com/

Frankly, and off the record, our favorite is the Anti-Bush game:

”The Anti-Bush Video Game”


From the website: “Combines humor, opinion, and fact to bring an
entertaining and informative video game adventure to people everywhere.

“The use of this medium will hopefully reach many people who have
not had the time or interest to read up on some of the appalling things
that have taken place in our government and society over the past four
years. For those of you who are paying attention, hopefully this game
has helped to clarify some of the important things at stake in the
upcoming elections. I realize that this game does not cover every
issue, problem, and appalling action of the Bush administration. There
are too many stories to report. Some issues ended up taking a back seat
to others. Just know that this is just a silly game and please inform
yourself for real and read books…and most importantly…please vote.”

By Starvingeyes/J. Oda.

Tracking the bucks all the way to court
Oct 2nd, 2006 by JTJ

Another unique investigation by The New York Times gets A1 play in this Sunday's edition (1 Oct. 2006) under the hed “Campaign Cash Mirrors a High Court's Rulings.”  Adam Liptak and Janet Roberts (who probably did the heavy lifting on the data analysis) took a long-term look at who contributed to the campaigns of Ohio's Supreme Court justices.  It ain't a pretty picture if one believes the justices should be above lining their own pockets, whether it's a campaign fund or otherwise.

In any event, there seems to be a clear correlation between contributions — and the sources — and the outcome to too many cases.  A sidebar, “Case Studies: West Virginia and Illinois,” would suggest there is much to be harvested by reporters in other states.

There is, thankfully, a fine description of how the data for the study was collected and analyzed.  See “
How Information Was Collected

There are two accompanying infographics, one  (Ruling on Contributors' Cases” ) is much more informative than the other (“While the Case Is Being Heard, Money Rolls In” ), which is a good, but confusing, attempt to illustrate difficult concepts and relationships. 

At the end of the day, though, we are grateful for the investigation, data crunching and stories.



Statistically speaking….
Sep 20th, 2006 by Tom Johnson

Any discipline always has subsets of argument, typically about definitions, methodologies, process or significance.  Statistics, of course, is no different.  Below is an interesting article from the Washington Monthly about what constitutes statistical significance.  The article is OK, but the commentary below it even better.  See http://www.blogware.com/admin/index.cgi/cmd=post_article

LIES, DAMN LIES, AND….Via Kieran Healy, here's something way off the beaten path: a new paper by Alan Gerber and Neil Malhotra titled “Can political science literatures be believed? A study of publication bias in the APSR and the AJPS.”
It is, at first glance, just what it says it is: a study of publication
bias, the tendency of academic journals to publish studies that find
positive results but not to publish studies that fail to find results.
The reason this is a problem is that it makes positive results look
more positive than they really are. If two researchers do a study, and
one finds a significant result (say, tall people earn more money than
short people) while the other finds nothing, seeing both studies will
make you skeptical of the first paper's result. But if the only paper
you see is the first one, you'll probably think there's something to it.



The chart on the right shows G&M's basic result. In statistics
jargon, a significant result is anything with a “z-score” higher than
1.96, and if journals accepted articles based solely on the quality of
the work, with no regard to z-scores, you'd expect the z-score of
studies to resemble a bell curve. But that's not what Gerber and
Malhotra found.
Abovebelow
a z-score of 1.96 there are far fewer studies than you'd expect.
Apparently, studies that fail to show significant results have a hard
time getting published.



Watching the ebb and flow on city streets
Sep 6th, 2006 by Tom Johnson

Friend Steve Guerin tips us to “Cabspotting,” a fascinating site created by San Francisco's Exploratorium.  It's about georgraphy, traffic flow, and complexity.  Give a look to “Cabspotting”

About Cabspotting

Cabspotting
traces San Francisco's taxi cabs as they travel throughout the Bay
Area. The patterns traced by each cab create a living and
always-changing map of city life. This map hints at economic, social,
and cultural trends that are otherwise invisible. The Exploratorium has
invited artists and researchers to use this information to reveal these
“Invisible Dynamics.”

The core of this project is the Cab Tracker.
The Tracker averages the last four hours of cab routes into a ghostly
image, and then draws the routes of ten in-progress cab rides over it.

The Time Lapse
area of the project reveals time-varying patterns such as rush hour,
traffic jams, holidays and unusual events. New projects are produced by
the Exploratorium's visiting artists and also created by the larger
Cabspotting community.



Something cool for the Excel day-trippers
Aug 18th, 2006 by JTJ

OK, OK.  Maybe we've crossed over some line social acceptability, but this is neat addition to the analytic journalist's toolbox.  My friend Mike Collins tips us off to:

http://www.juiceanalytics.com/weblog/?p=236

Lightweight data exploration in Excel

del.icio.us:Lightweight data exploration in Excel digg:Lightweight data exploration in Excel reddit:Lightweight data exploration in Excel Y!:Lightweight data exploration in Excel

,

Lifehacker, delicious folks! This post generated a ton of great community ideas. Check out our followup post to see some more ideas and to download a spreadsheet with demos. Thanks.

We often are given a chunk of data in Excel that we need to explore.
Of course, the first tool you should pull out of your toolbox in cases
like this is the trusty PivotTable (it slices, it dices!). But at times
we have to dig a little deeper into the toolbox and pull out the
in-cell bar chart. Here’s what it looks like.

In cell bar charts in Excel

This picture shows some Major League Baseball data. I’m graphing the
number of walks each player has taken. The bar graphs are built using
the Excel REPT function which lets you repeat text a certain number of
times. REPT looks like this:

=REPT(text,number_of_times)

For instance, REPT(”X”,10) gives you “XXXXXXXXXX”. REPT can also
repeat a phrase; REPT(”Oh my goodness! “,3) gives “Oh my goodness! Oh
my goodness! Oh my goodness! ” (my daughter’s an Annie fan).

For in-cell bar charts, the trick is to repeat a single bar “|”.
When formatted in 8 point Arial font, single bars look like bar graphs.
Here’s the formula behind the bars:

The formula behind the bar

What are some practical uses of in-cell bar graphs? For starters,
they offer a good way to profile a dataset that has hundreds or
thousands of rows. Here’s a picture of in-cell bars compared to a
standard excel bar graph for a dataset with about 500 rows. It can be a
lot easier to scan the results when they’re in-cell.

Exploring tall data with in-cell bar graphsExploring the same data with an Excel bar graph

Another usage is lightweight dashboards. The report below compares a
number of metrics for players using both in-cell bar graphs as well as
conditional formatting. The conditional formatting highlights the top
25% of each metric in green and the bottom 25% in red but that is a
story for another day.

The formula behind the bar


"Making sense of the world by having fun with statistics!"
Aug 16th, 2006 by JTJ

Fascinating display of global statistics on site, Gapminder  The homepage currently has some dynamic displays related to
Human Development Trends: 2005.  Well worth watching, but be sure to scroll down the page to scan all the useful articles and presentations available.


Then, perhaps saving the best for last, go to the Gapminder Tool  at http://tools.google.com/gapminder.  Note that you can play with the axes to change (a) what is graphed and (b) how it is graphed (log or linear), and hit the play button on the bottom to see how the numbers changed over the past years.  [Thanks Patti Schank for this good tip.]


Search statistics through Google and watch it move with Gapminder

Google Subscribed Links makes it possible to search deep into Gapminder's moving graphs visualizing world development.

Subscribe or go straight to the graph.

Contact gapworld@gapminder.org with questions or suggestions for improvements.


Report from ESRI User Conference – No. 1
Aug 8th, 2006 by JTJ

Some interesting presentations this morning on visualization and modeling as they can be applied in GIS.  See:

Check out http://vissim.uwf.edu/  
This is a growing library of public domain shape models.  “This website
offers access to a new hierarchical data structure that allows the
efficient storage of natural and man-made feature data for use in a
multitude of both manual and computerized Mapping, Charting & Geodesy
systems.”

Also, interesting visualizations at http://www.redlands.edu/x12556.xml 

“The
Redlands Institute has completed projects for a wide range of
industries and organizations. The most prominent projects are grouped
in these categories:




A MUST read: The (Ongoing) Vitality of Mythical Numbers
Jun 30th, 2006 by JTJ

“The (Ongoing) Vitality of Mythical Numbers
<http://www.slate.com/id/2144508/
>
This article serves as a valuable reminder that we should view
all statistics, no matter how frequently they are used in
public arguments, with skepticism until we know who produced
them and how they were derived.”


From:

Neat New Stuff I Found This Week


<
http://marylaine.com/neatnew.html>

Copyright, Marylaine Block, 1999-2006.

A most-helpful statistics site
Jun 25th, 2006 by JTJ

From the good folks at Internet Scout:

HyperStat Online [Last reviewed December 19, 1997]
http://davidmlane.com/hyperstat/

Does the mere mention of the phrase “sampling distributions” bring a tingle
to your spine? Visitors to this site will fear this basic concept of
statistics (along with many others) no longer, as it does a fine job of
explaining them in a fashion that is both lucid and jargon-free. Created and
maintained by Professor David M. Lane of Rice University, the HyperStat
Online site contains an online introductory statistics textbook, complete
with sections on normal distributions, confidence intervals, prediction, and
the logic of hypothesis testing. Each section contains a number of discrete
subsections, and users can feel free to browse around at their leisure.
Professor Lane has also included a number of external links to related
resources, including a visual statistics site by David Krus of Arizona State
University and a “Stat Primer”, authored by Bud Gerstman of San Jose State
University. Overall, this site is tremendously helpful, and will be of great
assistance to those entering the world of statistics for the first time.
[KMG]
Challenging the DATA of conventional wisdom
Jun 12th, 2006 by JTJ

Kudos this morning to National Public Radio's reporting on a Duke professor who thought the numbers on Chinese engineering grads seemed a little off kilter.

Figures on Chinese Engineers Fail to Add Up
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5478159

Listen to this story... by  


Morning Edition, June 12, 2006 · A report cited in The New York Times
and quoted on the House floor claimed China graduates nine times as
many engineers as the U.S. Skeptical, a Duke professor had students
check the numbers.





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