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Resources related to Crime Mapping
Dec 7th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

We
don't know if there has as yet been any empirical research done on how
interested media consumers are in online crime mapping — and how good the coverage is —  but there is a body of
literature debating readers' interest in crime per se.  It would
seem to be a pretty good bet, though, that if people are interested in
crime AND if more and more are going online via broadband, that
some dynamic crime maps would get some hits. 

Remember
that crime mapping is not just about pushing digital push-pins on a
map, GoogleMap or otherwise.  “Journey to Crime” maps or maps
showing where a car was stolen and when it was recovered can provide
interesting insights.

Here are some links recently posted to the CrimeMapping listserv that could be of value to journalists:

Journey-after-crime: How Far and to Which Direction DO They Go?
http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/nij/maps/boston2004/papers/Lu.ppt

Linking Offender Residence Probability Surfaces to a Specific Incident Location
http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/nij/maps/dallas2001/Gore.doc

Journey to Crime Estimation
http://www.icpsr.umich.edu/CRIMESTAT/files/CrimeStatChapter.10.pdf

Applications for Examining the Journey-to-Crime Using Incident-Based Offender Residence Probability Surfaces
http://pqx.sagepub.com/cgi/content/refs/7/4/457

The Geography of Transit Crime:
http://www.uctc.net/papers/550.pdf

See, too: Paulsen, Derek J.  “WRONG SIDE OF THE TRACKS: EXPLORING THE ROLE OF NEWSPAPER COVERAGE OF HOMICIDE IN SOCIALLY CONSTRUCTING DANGEROUS PLACES.” Journal of Criminal Justice and Popular Culture, 9(3) (2002) 113-127


Indirect indicators. Or maybe not.
Dec 5th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

Sometimes
journalists have a tendency to be too literal.  We want to ask a
question and we want the response to be a quote that is without
ambiguity.  One that's fills in some of the space between our
anecdotes.  But other times, we need tools that work like a
periscope, a device that allows us to not look at the object directly
but through a helpful lens.  Such periscopes for analyzing the
economy are indirect indicators.




Monday's
(5 Dec. 2005) NYTimes' Business Section was loaded with references to
such indicators that journos could keep in mind when looking for
devices to show and explain what's happening.  Check out “
What's Ahead: Blue Skies, or More Forecasts of Them?”   Be sure to click on the link Graphic: Indicators From Everyday Life


Another indirector was mentined Sunday on National Public Radio in “Economic Signs Remain Strong
  There, an economist said he tracks changes in the “titanium dioxide” data, the compound is used in all white paint and reflects manufacturing production. 








Tilling the soil makes for fertile crops, Congressionally speaking.
Dec 5th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

Kudos to Derek Willis and Adrian Holovaty of The Washington Post for the Washingtonpost.com site “U.S. Congress Votes Database.”  One element we find of recent and special interest is the “late night votes
variables for both the House and Senate.  With a little more
probing and data slicing and dicing, it would make an interesting bit
of visual
statistics/infographics to do a longitudinal comparison of the time of
votes in various congresses.





This site/searchable database is a fine example of how investing in some basic data preparation
can create the potential for a ton of stories.  Why, for example, do
Democrats have such a preponderance (18 out of 20) of Representatives on the “missed
votes
” list, but only 9 out of 20 on the similar list for the Senate?




This is
also a fine example of how a newspaper can do good things for itself
while doing good things for the community and readers.  This
database gives the WP reporters and editors a quick look-up of
Congressional activity, the kind of fact and detail that can enrich a
story.  At the same time, citizens can turn to this value-added
form of the public record to answer their own questions.




Derek Willis wrote to the news librarians listserv:



“Folks,



It's not part of a story or series, but the Post today launched a site

that may prove useful to your newsrooms or even as an inspiration to

learn Python: a congressional votes database that covers the

102nd-109th congresses (1991-present). Currently browsable, we're

working on adding a search engine and other features to it. Adrian

Holovaty, who works for washingtonpost.com, and I assembled the data

and he built the web framework to display it. All of the data is

gathered using Python, the database backend is PostgreSQL and the web

framework is Django.”








Decentralized, complex adaptive systems meet realpolitik and journalism. Finally.
Dec 3rd, 2005 by Tom Johnson

A
couple of articles have passed across our desk in recent days that
illustrate the impact — and  importance of understanding —
decentralized (or “distributed”) systems and
complex adaptive systems.

For starters, take a look at “Reinventing 911
How a swarm of networked ­citizens is building a better ­emergency broadcast system.”

http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/13.12/warning.html


Author Gary Wolf writes:
I've been talking with security experts about one of the thorniest
problems they face: How can we protect our complex society from massive
but unpredictable catastrophes? The homeland security establishment has
spent an immeasurable fortune vainly seeking an answer, distributing
useless, highly specialized equipment, and toggling its multicolored
Homeland Security Advisory System back and forth between yellow, for
elevated, and orange, for high. N
ow I've come [to Portland, Oregon] to take a look at a
different set of tools, constructed outside the control of the federal
government and based on the notion that the easier it is for me to find
out about a loose dog tying up traffic, the safer I am from a terrorist
attack.

“To understand the true nature of warnings, it helps to see them not
as single events, like an air-raid siren, but rather as swarms of
messages racing through overlapping social networks, like the buzz of
gossip. Residents of New Orleans didn't just need to know a hurricane
was coming. They also needed to be informed that floodwaters were
threatening to breach the levees, that not all neighborhoods would be
inundated, that certain roads would become impassible while alternative
evacuation routes would remain open, that buses were available for
transport, and that the Superdome was full.

“No central authority possessed this information. Knowledge was
fragmentary, parceled out among tens of thousands of people on the
ground. There was no way to gather all these observations and deliver
them to where they were needed. During Hurricane Katrina, public
officials from top to bottom found themselves locked within
conventional channels, unable to receive, analyze, or redistribute news
from outside. In the most egregious example, Homeland Security
secretary Michael Chertoff said in a radio interview that he had not
heard that people at the New Orleans convention center were without
food or water. At that point they'd been stranded two days.

“By contrast, in the system Botterell created for California,
warnings are sucked up from an array of sources and sent automatically
to users throughout the state. Messages are squeezed into a standard
format called the Common Alerting Protocol, designed by Botterell in
discussion with scores of other disaster experts. CAP gives precise
definitions to concepts like proximity, urgency, and certainty.
Using CAP, anyone who might respond to an emergency can choose to get
warnings for their own neighborhood, for instance, or only the most
urgent messages. Alerts can be received by machines, filtered, and
passed along. The model is simple and elegant, and because warnings can
be tagged with geographical coordinates, users can customize their cell
phones, pagers, BlackBerries, or other devices to get only those
relevant to their precise locale.”



Second item of interest
I'm sure many of you noted Dexter Filkins Pg1 lead story in the NYT on
Friday, 2 Dec. 2005.  The online version headline is “
Profusion of Rebel Groups Helps Them Survive in Iraq
.”  That, unfortunately, lacks the truth and insight of the print version headline:
“Loose Structure of Rebels Helps them Survive in Iraq — While Al Qaeda Gains Attention, Many Small Groups Attack on Their Own.
 

It
seems that finally someone in the journalism community has figured out
that what's happening in Iraq — and around the world — is a
decentralize, CAS.  Too bad journalists — journalism educators, students and professionals — haven't been exposed to the
concepts and vocabulary to really present the problem in all its, ahem,
complexity.


And the GIS light went on at the The Eagle-Tribune
Nov 28th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

This week's edition of GIS Weekly 
tells the tale of how another newspaper figured out that GIS could be a
vital tool for circulation.  Of course, many folks in the
newspaper industry knew that long before word reached the editorial
department, but no matter: more and more publishers and even some
editors are “getting it.”  See “
The Cultivation of Newspaper Readership Using Segmentation Software” by Susan Smith. 

Here are some quotes:



“We mapped the single copy purchase points to determine where they are
and how likely prospective newspaper readers were to be near them or
see them and we found that we could a) increase the density of our
single copy purchase points and b) relocate them to be more in field of
travel of likely newspaper readers. When we did that, we saw in the
Essex County Capital newspapers, basically the North Shore of Boston,
for example, a 25% increase in single copy sales, during the course of
less than a year.”


What was the company's initial investment in the software?
“On an annual basis it's about $20,000-$30,000,” commented [
research director Forbes] Durey. “The
MapInfo software is priced in various stages. MapInfo's sales team was
very flexible in designing a pricing strategy to meet our current
needs. Our initial investment was $800-$900. We tested that for about a
year, and then we decided to dive in and use all the data and
capabilities that MapInfo offers. At this point, we purchased the full
set of capabilities from MapInfo's TargetPro software. Newspapers can
expect a varying degree of investment from $1,000 up to $30,000 or
more.”

If you look at
the MapInfo investment we made, it equates to roughly 20 cents per
subscriber per year. What fraction of the value of the subscriber is 20
cents? In the newspaper business today it's a very small fraction.”



New GIS Tutorial Book just out
Nov 25th, 2005 by JTJ

ESRI Press has a new book out, a tutorial for ArcView 9 by friends-of-the-IAJ Wilpen Gorr and Kristen S. Kurland at Carnegie Mellon University. What's of special interest to journalists is the example projects, one “creating a voting
district map for a local election” and another “
comparing
county financial information in a map.”  These, and more, would be
perfect fits in a journo's tool box.  Don't be put off by the list
price of $70; Amazon has it marked down to $45.



New GIS Tutorial Book Provides Self-Study Instruction for ArcView
21, 2005 — Redlands, California—All geographic information system (GIS) users, from classroom instructors to field surveyors, can now turn to a common resource to enhance their work.

A new workbook from ESRI Press shows how GIS meets the needs of a wide range of professions and technological abilities. GIS Tutorial: Workbook for ArcView 9
offers exercises and instructions that users can adapt to specific
training needs, whether it is teaching GIS in a classroom or using the
book for individual study. The book takes readers through the process
of using a variety of GIS functionality, from creating maps and
collecting data to using geoprocessing tools and models for advanced
analysis.

GIS Tutorial includes scripted exercises that use detailed step-by-step instructions and graphics to illustrate specific ArcGIS
tools and GIS workflows. Exercise assignments give precise instructions
and pose real-world problem scenarios including creating a voting
district map for a local election,
comparing county financial information in a map, geocoding household
hazardous wastes, and analyzing populations in California cities at
risk for earthquakes. A fully functioning 180-day trial version of ArcView 9 software on CD-ROM and a CD of data for working through the tutorials are included with the book.

GIS experts Wilpen L. Gorr and Kristen S. Kurland prepared the book
with comprehensive instruction in mind. Gorr is a professor of public
policy and information systems management at the H. John Heinz III
School of Public Policy and Management, Carnegie Mellon University,
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Kurland holds a joint faculty appointment at
Carnegie Mellon University's Heinz School of Public Policy and
Management and School of Architecture, where she teaches GIS, CAD, 3D
visualization, and computer-aided facilities management.

GIS Tutorial: Workbook for ArcView 9 (ISBN 1-58948-127-5, 374 pages, $69.95) is available in bookstores and online retailers worldwide or can be purchased at Amazon Online Store or by calling 1-800-447-9778. Outside the United States, contact your local ESRI distributor. Books published by ESRI Press are distributed to the trade by Independent Publishers Group (tel.: 1-800-888-4741, Web: www.ipgbook.com).



For pricing information or to order a copy of “GIS Tutorial: Workbook for ArcView 9,”
visit Amazon Book Store.

Press Information:
Nikki Snowhite, ESRI
Tel.: 909-793-2853, extension 1-2194
E-mail (press only): Email Contact
General Information: Email Contact”



Creative analytic techniques
Nov 25th, 2005 by JTJ

A recent edition of MIT's Technology Review
tells a tale with direct parallels to analytic journalism.  That
is, investigators bringing well-known and established analytic tools to
new applications.  In this case, using computer scans to conduct a
“visual autopsies.”  See:




“Dead Men Do Tell Tales
Virtual autopsies reveal clues that forensic pathologists might miss. By John Gartner
http://www.technologyreview.com//wtr_15922,1,p1.html?trk=nl



Taking games seriously
Nov 23rd, 2005 by Tom Johnson

Serious Games Initiative

http://www.seriousgames.org/



The Serious Games Initiative is focused on uses for games
in exploring management and leadership challenges
facing the public sector. Part of its overall charter
is to help forge productive links between the
electronic game industry and projects involving the use of
games in education, training, health, and public policy.





Says information specialists Marylaine Block:



 “As one who believes nobody should be allowed to run for office until they have played



Sim City for at least six months, I think such games have enormous



potential for helping people explore complex social problems and possible



solutions.”



More thinking about looking
Nov 23rd, 2005 by Tom Johnson

Our
friend Marylaine Block once again delivers some insights directly
applicable to analytic journalism.  See the piece below where she
explains why visual statistics and infographics are essential to what
we're doing (or trying to do).







ExLibris #268  Permanent URL http://marylaine.com/exlibris/xlib268.html

Archive: http://marylaine.com/exlibris/archive.html



THE POWER OF VISUALIZED INFORMATION

by Marylaine Block



When I discussed some possible futures for reference service at the

California Library Association <http://marylaine.com/ref.html>, I focused

heavily on the value we create for users by not just finding information

for them but providing context and meaning for information. One of the best

ways to do this is by presenting it visually.



This is especially important when we're talking about numbers, because the

human mind is poorly equipped to grasp the meaning of large numbers. Any

number higher than those we have worked with in our personal lives, like

the amount of our salary or our mortgage, are, for all intents and

purposes, classified together in our minds as “a whole bunch.” The real

meaning of millions, billions, and trillions is effectively beyond our

grasp (and maybe beyond the grasp of legislators who routinely deal in

these numbers); That's why I like to point people to the Megapenny project,

<http://www.kokogiak.com/megapenny/default.asp>, which visually demonstrates

the substantial difference between million billion, and trillion.



Numbers conveyed in charts are more readily graspable and have more

dramatic impact than row after row of numbers in eye-glazing tables.

Consider the nice charts OCLC has provided for librarians to demonstrate

the economic impact of libraries,

<http://www5.oclc.org/downloads/community/librariesstackup.pdf>. The visual

demonstration of how visits to libraries exceed attendance at all

professional and collegiate sports by a factor of five is a splendid

response to the question, “With Google, who needs libraries anymore?”



Take a look at how somebody displayed the results from mining data about

political books from “readers who bought this also bought these” systems at

major web booksellers: <http://www.orgnet.com/divided.html>. That graphic

representation powerfully conveys the findings in a few seconds; the

details can be read at your leisure.



Consider also how librarians at Cornell University's Engineering Library

explained to their faculty the problem of excessive and escalating sci-tech

journal prices, <http://www.englib.cornell.edu/exhibits/stickershock/>.

(Librarians, of course, are the fools publishers can count on to buy The

Journal of Applied Polymer Science rather than the Toyota Corolla.) This

visual demonstration was an important tool librarians used to convince

faculty to join the fight to control the costs of scholarly publishing.



Those of us who have frequently used reference books like The Timetables of

History, or Who Was When already understand the way that concurrent visual

timelines can contextualize any subject. Nothing exists in a vacuum, and

art, literature, music, science, and historical events coexisting at the

same time inevitably influence each other. The history of medicine and the

history of photography have seen significant advances in wartime, for

example. The music of Wagner and the philosophy of Nietzsche had a powerful

ipact on the development of the National Socialist party in Germany. To

help our users understand those coexisting influences, you can send them to

concurrent timeline sites like HyperHistory,

<http://www.hyperhistory.com/online_n2/History_n2/a.html>



Mapping is another valuable way of providing context for information. The

Perry-Castaneda Library Map Collection at the University of Texas helps

illuminate current news stories by providing current and historical maps

<http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/>. Consider how much more comprehensible

the conflict in Iraq is when you view maps that show the Distribution of

Ethnoreligious Groups and Major Tribes, or Land Use, or the distribution of

oil facilities <http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/iraq.html>.



When people need information specific to their own community, Google Maps

<http://maps.google.com/> allows you to

create localized topical maps easily. Feed in “Restaurants near

AddressOfYourLibrary” and you'll get a map you can duplicate and hand out

to your patrons (which I would urge you all to do).



As people ask you for local information, consider whether they'd benefit

from having you display it as a Google map. Here are just a few of the ways

people have been using Google Maps: to map the locations for best gas

prices (<http://www.ahding.com/cheapgas/>); public transit stops near a

given location (see <http://holovaty.com/blog/archive/2005/04/19/0216>);

traffic information (see <http://traffic.poly9.com/>); sex offenders (see

<http://www.mapsexoffenders.com/>); Wireless Hotspots (see

<http://www.tadl.org/wireless/map/>). I'm sure you can think of lots more

uses.



A particularly powerful form of mapping is Geographic Information Systems

(GIS), which the GIS Dictionary at ESRI defines as “an integrated

collection of computer software, spatial data, related information, and

supporting infrastructure used to visualize and analyze spatial

relationships, model spatial processes, and manage spatial information.”

(See <http://www.gis.com/> and

<http://www.library.wisc.edu/data/GIS/gisrsrc.htm> for more information on

GIS). By allowing you to superimpose on each other multiple types of

information with geographic coordinates, it's a powerful tool for analyzing

relationships between data — between, say, a community's geology,

drainage, and proposed development, or between a library's buildings, its

service area, and the demographic communities within it.



A necessary caveat because of the very power of graphic representations,

however, is their capability for distorting information. We knew this even

before people started using PhotoShop to alter images. After all, the mere

fact of where you choose to stand to take a picture and what you select to

shoot alters the “reality” revealed by the picture; those choices allow you

to make a demonstration sparsely attended, or so big it shut the city down,

or to make its participants everyday middle-class people, or obvious

radicals and nutcakes.



Consider the famous red state/blue state map

<http://www-personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/>. Because this map

represents physical space occupied by states awarded under a

winner-take-all electoral system, it appears to show Democratic voters

hanging on by their fingernails to the edges of a continent that is

rejecting them.



Arrow down through that web site and you'll see that, since much of that

physical red-state space has more cows than people, a cartogram that skews

the size of the states to correspond to the population of those states

provides an entirely different view. Arrow down still further and you'll

understand how, with electoral votes awarded by state, the

red-state-blue-state depiction made states with substantial pockets of both

red and blue voters look more monolithic than they actually are; the

speckled county by county map gives a far better presentation of a country

that's not so much red and blue as a mix of both.



That's why when we use a tool as powerful as graphics to illuminate

information, it's especially incumbent on us to document and explain our

sources and methods fully, and to explain any assumptions embedded in the

data as imaged. It's our obligation, as information professionals, to honor

the data, and to honor our users.




* * * * *






Map Mashups: When a good idea takes off
Nov 22nd, 2005 by JTJ

CNET.com News serves up a good overview of what happens when a company pushes its powerful code kernels out to the world.


Mapping a revolution with 'mashups'

By Elinor Mills

Staff Writer, CNET News.com

November 17, 2005 4:00 AM PT

Even before Google gave its blessing, Paul Rademacher was hacking
away at the code behind its mapping application so he could mix it with
outside real estate data and see exactly where homes listed for sale
were located in the San Francisco area.

Little did the computer graphics expert know that his HousingMaps.com, which combines a Google map with house listings from the popular Craigslist community,
would be the start of an Internet phenomenon. Although Rademacher
created his site about two months before Google publicly released its
application programming interface–the secret sauce that allows
developers to create their own recipes with its maps–the company
wasn't angry.


In fact, Google hired him shortly thereafter.


“Now we see that all along there has been a huge amount of interesting
information tied around location,” Rademacher said. “Before, they had
no way of expressing that and doing anything useful with it.”


With such “mashups”–hybrid software that combines content from more
than one source–digital maps are quickly becoming a centralized tool
for countless uses ranging from local shopping and traffic reports to
online dating and community organizing, all in real time and right down
to specific addresses.


Online mapping is evolving into a historic nexus of disparate
technologies and communities that is changing the fundamental use of
the Internet, as well as redefining the concept of maps in our culture.
Along the way, map mashups are providing perhaps the clearest idea yet
of commercial applications for the generation of so-called social
technologies they represent.


They are, in a very real sense, bridging the gap between the virtual and physical worlds.


“This information has been on the Web for years,” said Mike Pegg, a Canadian programmer who runs a site called Google Maps Mania. “The map is all of a sudden bringing this information to life for us. I think it has inspired a lot of people.”


So prolific has the mapping movement become that Pegg has dedicated his
site to documenting the staggering growth of mashups. He estimates that
at least 10 mashups are created every day, each providing data that pop
up in info balloons from the digital pushpins dotting various online
maps.


Not surprisingly, this unprecedented interest is forcing change at
old-world cartography institutions. Just last week, Rand McNally
announced a new online mapping service of its own called MapEngine,
which will allow businesses to integrate maps, directions and location
search functionality into their Web sites. But such established
companies will increasingly compete with free applications that have
sprung up organically on the Web.

A monster mashup

The term “mashup” was first used in pop music when artists and DJs
began playing two songs simultaneously. In technology, it refers to a
Web site or application that combines content from multiple sources but
appears seamless upon use. Although used for various software, mashups
became an unparalleled phenomenon in digital cartography because of the
relatively easy ability to overlay all types of data on an online map
with tools from such companies as Google and Amazon.


Already, hundreds of mashups overlay maps with everything from such practical information as gas station prices, hurricane movements, hot springs sites and crime statistics to the more entertaining if not frivolous, including photos of urinals, UFO sightings, New York movie locations, taco trucks in Seattle and Hot People by ZIP Code, a mashup of Google Maps and the HotorNot.com Web site.


This wildfire popularity has touched off feverish competition among the major portals that provide mapping services,
especially since Yahoo, Microsoft's MSN and Google all released their
map programming software to the public. But another reason cited for
the boom in map mashups is one of hardware, specifically the processor
speed and storage capacity needed for satellite photos and other
resource-hogging images.

“They are taking off because the hardware has gotten to the
point where it is possible and the software has achieved a bit of
maturity, especially with Google Maps,” said Rich Gibson, co-author of
the book “Mapping Hacks.” “Until very recently you couldn't effectively
do mapping work on a personal computer.”


Hardware and software aside, however, it is the ability for anyone to
add information to a map


“You can plan a jogging route and it calculates when you should take
rests,” said Bret Taylor, product manager of Google Local, which
includes Google Maps. “It amazes us how popular this site is.”

 Google all over the map


Has Google created a de facto standard with its mapping technology?

Click here to watch video


The “about” section of Gmaps Pedometer explains: “As a runner training
for a marathon for the first time, I found myself wishing I had an easy
way to know the exact distance a certain course is, without having to
drag a GPS or pedometer around on my runs. Looking at Google Maps, and
knowing there was a vibrant community of geeks hacking it, I knew there
had to be a way. So here it is.”


Real estate and travel mashups, which inherently lend themselves to
geographically specific information, are proving particularly hot. Some
examples: Dartmaps, for real-time locations of commuter trains in Dublin, FBOweb.com, for tracking airline flight status, and TravelPost.com, which allows travelers to post journals and photos on maps, as well as get hotel reviews.


“The map is all of a sudden bringing this information to life for us. I think it has inspired a lot of people.”


–Mike Pegg, programmer, Google Maps Mania


“Travelers often have a world map on their wall with thumbtacks of
where they've been,” TravelPost.com Chief Executive Sam Shank said. “I
wanted to carry that online. I thought it was an incredible metaphor
for travels.”


For those not worried about a housing bubble, HomePriceRecords.com lists how much people paid for their homes, while real estate mashups Trulia.com and HomePages.com combine data on homes for sale with detailed neighborhood information such as park and school locations.


Other mashups have a distinct community or social perspective, such as CommunityWalk.com, which allows people to create and share maps, WeFixNYC.com, which features a map showing the potholes in New York City and tracks how long it takes to fix them, and Zvents.com, which lets people search for events according to type, date or location.


Still more are combining photos and maps, such as SmugMaps.com, which allows people to do location-based searching for photos around the globe, and Amazon.com's A9 map service, which shows street-level photos for specific addresses.


“Taking a picture and putting it on a map ties it to the real world in
a way that the Internet hasn't been able to do yet,” said Jared
Upton-Cosulich, founder of CommunityWalk.com. “In general, the Internet
has not been good at giving this information. What's near me? What's in
my neighborhood? A map makes that information easy to digest.”


“Travelers often have a world map on their wall with thumbtacks of where they've been. I wanted to carry that online.”


–Sam Shank, CEO, TravelPost.com


One Web site called KMaps,
has created software built on top of Google Maps that allows people to
get location-based information on various mobile devices, such as the
addresses of nearby restaurants and directions to get there. Developers
have already expanded the applications to include the ability to
quickly find a date in the neighborhood and other social networking
uses.


As with all successful technologies, of course, commercial interests
are never far behind, and mapping is no exception. While mashups
typically are labors of love created by passionate people who want to
share information with others, businesses see the potential for highly
targeted advertising and other lucrative applications.


“If you can build an interface and database that is useful, you can
serve contextual and geo-targeted advertising against it,” said Greg
Sterling, an analyst at The Kelsey Group.


Because they are linked to relevant information, search- or
keyword-based advertisements are more effective than traditional
“display” ads designed simply to promote a brand. Targeting ads not
only to a keyword search but to a person's specific location could be
even more effective.

It can be assumed, for example, that someone searching for
restaurants in a particular neighborhood may well be planning on dining
there. That kind of specific behavioral prediction is exactly the kind
of incentive that can lure local merchants, who have declined
advertisements to global readerships in the past because they were not
worth the relatively high price.


Local search is expected to grow from being a $418 million market this
year to $3.4 billion in 2009, according to a forecast from The Kelsey
Group.


Although Google has not served up ads on mashup sites, the company
reserves the right to include advertising in the map images provided to
mashup creators, and users must agree to display those ads without
modification, according to its terms of use.


Yahoo is selling sponsorships to certain merchants for placement on
prominent buttons that appear below a map that will show locations of
stores, wireless hot spots and other sites. Yahoo Maps also includes a
feature that shows traffic conditions and a SmartView feature that
allows people to pinpoint on the map various destinations such as
Chinese restaurants, hospitals and hiking trails.

To improve its mapping service, Yahoo Japan has been accepting
information from the public about information in their neighborhoods,
such as the opening of new stores–another illustration of the value of
social technologies and networks.

Yahoo Local
directly integrates user content and places it on a map. Typing in
“best margaritas” and a city and ZIP code, for instance, brings up
three sponsored results followed by reviews and ratings written by
customers.

“Yahoo, in particular, has seen maps as another doorway into local
information,” Sterling said. “I have historically used Yahoo Maps
because I can plot a point and find a hotel in proximity to that
location, within walking distance. That kind of information is hard to
get a sense from most text links or standard searching.”

“Taking a picture and putting it on a map ties it to the real world in a way that the Internet hasn't been able to do yet.”


–Jared Upton-Cosulich, founder, CommunityWalk.com


Companies are looking at subscription and pay-per-transaction
strategies, but so far advertising has been the “most tried and tested”
business, said Jeremy Kreitler, senior product manager for Yahoo Maps
and Local.


“For example, Holiday Inn can be plotted on a map and provide links to
do bookings and get more information,” he said. “Those are good for
getting brick-and-mortar advertisers engaged.”


Justin Osmer, MSN Search product manager, agreed. “The advertising
model is the one that will take the lead. Pay-for-call is an
interesting model. With a pizzeria example, if you click on that ad
maybe MSN Virtual Earth gets 5 cents from that call. It's taking the
click-through model one step further.”


MSN Virtual Earth allows people to layer multiple searches on one map,
for instance, pinpointing locations of restaurants, movie theaters and
hotels. Microsoft is looking into business models that would allow
merchants to add photos of their stores, hours of operation and other
information, Osmer said.


In addition, real estate mashups provide opportunities for local agents
to advertise and list, said Matt Heinz, senior marketing director of
HomePages.com. “Real estate is a killer app for aerial mapping.”


Alternative ways of making money are being tried on a small scale. On his GeocoderUS
site, author Gibson lets people enter an address and find the longitude
and latitude for free, but he charges businesses $50 for 20,000
queries.


“There will most likely be a shakeout down the road as methods for
monetization evolve and those with a solution survive,” Kreitler said.

In all likelihood, it is far too soon to tell what mapping
services or mashups will prove the ultimate successes. Driven by the
power of collaborative grassroots thinking, technology is advancing too
rapidly on this front to predict with any certainty–commercially or
otherwise.


Online maps are quickly becoming far more dynamic than ever imagined
and will soon enter new phases of development as other technologies are
mashed into the mix. Pegg of Google Maps Mania cited the street
conditions as one fertile area, where truly real-time data would
drastically change their usefulness with such alerts as traffic
accidents and storm damage.


“For a really killer map interface, the only thing left is a live video
satellite,” he said. “That's the only thing that is missing–up-to-date
mapping.” 




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