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Why journalism — responsible journalism — is so important
May 15th, 2005 by JTJ

Newsweek says Koran desecration report is wrong

By David Morgan
Reuters
Sunday, May 15, 2005; 7:01 PM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Newsweek magazine said on Sunday it
erred in a May 9 report that U.S. interrogators desecrated the Koran at
Guantanamo Bay, and apologized to the victims of deadly Muslim protests sparked
by the article. 

     “Editor Mark Whitaker said the magazine inaccurately reported
that U.S. military investigators had confirmed that personnel at the detention
facility in Cuba had flushed the Muslim holy book down the toilet.

     “The report sparked angry and violent protests across the
Muslim world from Afghanistan, where 16 were killed and more than 100 injured,
to Pakistan to Indonesia to Gaza. In the past week it was condemned in Egypt,
Saudi Arabia, Bangladesh, Malaysia and by the Arab League….”

Here's Newsweek's own telling of the tale:
How a Fire Broke Out
The
story of a sensitive NEWSWEEK report about alleged abuses at Guantánamo
Bay and a surge of deadly unrest in the Islamic world.

And we wonder why the public doesn't trust us?

The continuum of Analytic Journalism
May 15th, 2005 by JTJ

The past eight days have presented
Americans with two extremes of Analytic Journalism, the bad and the good. 

The bad is Newsweek’s’ cover
story that hit the stands on Monday, May 9,
image2005, boldly headlined “2005 American’s Best
High Schools: Ranking the Top 100
.
 

Inside, we are told that “Public schools are ranked
according to a ratio devised by Jay Mathews: the number of Advanced Placement
or International Baccalaureate tests taken by all students at a school in 2004
divided by the number of graduating seniors.”
   The table accompanying
the story also includes a second variable: percent of the student body
“eligible for free and reduced lunches, an indicator of socioeconomic status….”


But the backstory is even
stranger.  Remember, Newsweek is making
a semi-big deal out of the fact that Washington Post reporter Jay Mathews
“devised” the ratio.  Yet Mathews himself
wrote something somewhat different on December 27, 2004 in a piece headlined “Are
Bonus Grade Points for Hard Courses Unfair?”


Here is Mathews quoting from his own story [emphasis
ours], which quotes a large-sample study on AP/IB testing conducted by Saul
Geiser and Veronica Santelices
of the University of California at Berkeley.

“Here is the news story I wrote about it last week.
For those who don't have time to read the whole thing, this quote from the
report sums it up well:

“’The
main finding . . . is that, controlling for other academic and socioeconomic
factors, the number of AP and honors courses taken in high school bears
little or no relationship to students' later performance in college
. The
study is based on a sample of 81,445 freshmen entering the University of
California (UC) [including eight campuses] between 1998 and 2001. While student
performance on AP examinations is strongly related to college performance, many
students who take AP courses do not complete the associated AP exams, and
merely taking AP or other honors-level courses in high school is not a valid
indicator of the likelihood that students will perform well in college.’”

So then tell us again why
the percent of students who merely take the exams is indicative of the “best”
high schools?  Mathews is an experienced
reporter who has covered education for a number of years.  We wonder just how much direct involvement
he had with the editors over at Newsweek.

We appreciate, however, the
editors at least showing their secondary data, if not the raw numbers.  (The online version ranks more than 1,000
U.S. high schools.)  Where we disagree
with Newsweek and Mathews is the use of any single variable to describe
something as complex as measuring the quality of education.  Here’s why:

·         
This index only
measures test-taking; it says nothing about performance, either on the
exams or once the students get to university. 
In fact, any graduating senior willing to pay $82 per AP test
would be counted in the Mathews index. 
Ergo, should a school district want to rise in the ranks, it would
allocate the funds to pay for 12 percent of its graduating seniors to take the
AP exams and, presto, it becomes the No. 1 high school in the nation.  [The No. 1 school reported 10.755 percent of
its graduating seniors took the exam(s).]

Unlikely?  IAJ fellow and former high
school teacher Pat Mattimore reports: “A chairman of one of the ‘ranked
public high schools’ back East e-mailed me that at her school classes are
bribed with things like harbor boat cruises to get 100% participation on the
exams as a result of Mathew’s ranking system.” 
[Click here
for Mattimore’s essay on the topic.]




·         
This kind of
“journalism” is only a step or two removed from the “Best Of
…” lists so beloved by ad sales folks. 
Anybody can vote and vote often for their favorite pizza restaurant.  For Newsweek to pull some cheap shot like
this — aided and abetted by an experienced reporter from the WP — only
compounds the Best Of… promotional sins and adds to the perceived shabbiness of
journalism. 
Newsweek even misses opportunity with this approach: its
website, that has the school rankings, has no search engine so readers can find
their schools of interest (or NOT find their schools).  This is just the kind of stats that cries
out for a GIS server that would draw appropriate maps and attach “drill-down”
data, the kind of thing USA Today and other newspapers have used to present voting results.

·         
More serious is that
this single-index approach also feeds into the public's instinctive longing for
a magic-bullet method of analysis and decision-making.  There are few, if any, social phenomena that
can be adequately described by one or two indices.  This sort of Newsweek thinking supports simplistic solutions,
e.g. the way to stop excessive drinking or abortions simply is to pass a law
against them.  The way to make people do
the right thing is to post The Ten Commandments in prominent public
places. 

Responsible journalism in the Digital Age (aka, the Age of Data Access) should
be trying to not over simplify but explain/illustrate complexity and the work
required to understand highly complex issues like “educational
quality.”

Good work at The Times

Fortunately a week later, The New York Times opened what may prove to be a fascinating series, “Class
in America: Shadowy Lines That Still Divide
 



“This series does not purport to be all-inclusive or the
last word on class. It offers no nifty formulas for pigeonholing people.
Instead, it represents an inquiry into class as Americans encounter it.”



Reporters Janny Scott and David Leonhardt do a
fine job in the opening article addressing – and illustrating – the complexity
of understanding the role of class in the United States’, or any, society.  They write:

            “The series does not purport
to be all-inclusive or the last word on class. It offers no nifty formulas for
pigeonholing people or decoding folkways and manners. Instead, it represents an
inquiry into class as Americans encounter it: indistinct, ambiguous, the
half-seen hand that upon closer examination holds some Americans down while
giving others a boost.

     “The trends
are broad and seemingly contradictory: the blurring of the landscape of class
and the simultaneous hardening of certain class lines; the rise in standards of
living while most people remain moored in their relative places.”

No “nifty formulas”? 
Perhaps not yet in the story, per se, but the first-rate infographics, innovative
ways
of presenting the data
and analysis
. 
supporting the story sure draw on a lot of data, data analysis and provide some

The bottom line: Top-notch analytic journalism from
The Times that informs readers while illustrating the complexity of the
topic.  Oh, but had Newsweek been
able to invest in the same effort, what a good week it might have been.■

Positive Deviance
May 14th, 2005 by JTJ

“Positive Deviance”
Has
a nice ring to it, don't you think?  In fact, the concept has been
batted around for 14-plus years and has evolved enough to have its own
physical and virtual place in the universe at the
Plexus Institute and Tufts University Positive Deviance Initiative.



“Positive
Deviance … demonstrates that isolated examples of success
can be tapped to benefit an entire community or organization.
Accomplishing this requires a radical departure from 'benchmarking' and
'best practices' strategies of change….The PD approach builds on
successful but 'deviant' (different) practices that are identified from
within a
community or organization. It is based on the observation that in every
group there are certain individuals whose uncommon, but demonstrably
successful practices or behaviors enable them to find better solutions
than their neighbors or colleagues who have access to exactly the same
resources. Its use was pioneered in developing countries and has led to
sustainable improvements in seemingly intractable organizational and
social issues.”

The
approach was originally developed for — and continues to be applied to
— health care.  But we at the IAJ like it because it is a
“transferable concept and social technology,” something that could take
root in “deviant” journalism.

We also like the approach because it is an example of how the high-level concepts of complexity studies and Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS) can
move from the theoretical to the experimental and on to application
state.  Again, something that journalism, and expecially
journalism educators, should be thinking about.

New link to Chance
May 14th, 2005 by JTJ

We have long admired and appreciated the work of Dartmouth Professor J. Laurie Snell and his colleagues at the CHANCE project.  (There are some terrific online lectures on all phases of statistics and probability at the Chance Lectures)



We received the following recently:

In order to give Chance News the chance for a longer life we have changed it to
a ChanceWiki. The new url
is


http://chance.dartmouth.edu/chancewiki/



For the ChanceWiki we
are using the software developed for the very successful free Encyclopedia
Wikipedia.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/



The wiki software makes
it easy for anyone to add an item or to make changes in an existing article
(hopefully an improvement) in the current Chance News.




On the Main Page
of the ChanceWiki you will find links to the current Chance news and “How to
submit a new article or edit an existing article”.




We hope you will try
making a contribution. If you have any questions I will be happy to try to
answer them.




J. Laurie Snell



jlsnell@dartmouth.edu

AnyLogic: Tool-of-the-Week
May 12th, 2005 by JTJ

A
talented band of coders in St. Petersburg, Russia has put together a
nifty simulation modeling application written in Java. 
Anylogicsupports virtually all existing
approaches to discrete event and continuous modeling, such as process
flow diagrams, system dynamics, agent-based modeling, state charts,
equation systems, etc. With this incredibly rich toolset you are not
limited with the technology anymore – analyze the problem, identify the
best approach, and find the solution!”

The
package is relatively affordable, especially if one can qualify for the
educational discount.  It could make for a handy tool to model
and/or illustrate a variety of dynamic aspects in an urban setting —
ambulance response time, crowd movement during an anti-war
demonstration.




Today, too, the roll-out of the LA Times re-designed web site includes an intuitive interactive map of freeway traffic flow
— real time — of the greater LA basin.  Perhaps some
enterprising news organization will figure out a way to tie these maps
from
SigAlert into the dashboard-mounted GPS navigation devices.  Or will SigAlert itself deliver those goods?

Diggin' into applied technology transfer
May 11th, 2005 by JTJ

The IAJ is always interested in people who are applying
methods and technologies in some totally unanticipated manner.

The current issue of WIRED magazine carries a short about
archeologists in Mexico using sophisticated technology developed by physicists
to learn more about one of that nation's major pre-Columbia pyramids.

Cosmic Secrets of the Pyramids” reports:

…They're peering into the pyramid with muons,
subatomic particles created when cosmic rays hit Earth's atmosphere. Traveling
at nearly the speed of light, muons have enormous penetrating power – able to
pierce half a mile of solid rock. (Researchers are using them to map lava tubes
in active volcanoes and to try to find nuclear contraband in shipping
containers.) Physicists with the National Autonomous University of Mexico are
using muon density levels to scan Teotihuacán for cavities, perhaps the tombs
of the mysterious civilization's rulers. Preliminary experiments suggest their
detectors can find voids larger than 2½ feet across.

Might a good county government reporter find “voids
larger than 2½ feet across” at the next board of supervisors meeting?

Click here for still more on the topic.

The NYT: Do as I say (sorta), not as I do
May 8th, 2005 by JTJ

Today's NYT “Week in Review” carries Daniel Okrent's column, “The Public Editor.”  This week's solid piece — “Briefers and Leakers and the Newspapers Who Enable Them” — takes another deserved shot at the use of unattributed and/or anonymous sourcing. 
But both Okrent and the NYT fall short in providing adequate
transparency and leveraging of the digital environment to the benefit
of both readers and the newspaper.

Okrent reports on some analytic work regarding the NYT's use of sourcing
practices, work carried out by a grad student at NYU, Jason B.
Williams.  Okrent gives appropriate attribution to Williams and
his data and, let's assume, reported it correctly.  But he only reported the data.  At the
end of the essay, Okrent quotes NYT editor Bill Keller: “'We need to
get our policies [regarding sourcing] hard-wired into the brains of our
reporters and editors that
we are obliged to tell readers how we know
what we know
,' Bill Keller told me the other day.” [The IAJ's emphasis added.]



Here Keller and Okrent disappoint us by prompting one of the fundamental
admonitions to novice journalists:  Don't TELL the reader, SHOW the reader what you know.



The way
to build reader confidence and improve the relevance of journalism
would have been to provide an online link to Williams' raw data so readers
could explore it for even richer insights and draw their own
conclusions. 


And even if you didn't create the "archives"….
May 6th, 2005 by JTJ

The
current issue of WIRED (or is it only the online WIRED News?  I'm
not always sure which is which.) carrieds a piece on what Amazon is
doing with its search engines to tease data out of the PDF books it
carries.  “
Judging a Book by its Contents
includes the following from Amazon exec. Bill Carr.  Oh that news
organizations could bring the same type of thinking to their archives.





Bill Carr, Amazon's executive vice president of digital media, confirms that this is a serious attempt to sell more books.


“We've been spending a lot of time thinking, 'We have this rich digital
content, how can we pull info out and expose it to customers that makes
discovery even better?'” Carr said. “What you are seeing here are the
fruits of a lot experimenting and brainstorming.”


Carr points to the “adaptive unconscious” SIP from Malcolm Gladwell's best seller, Blink, as an example of how improbable data mining can get a curious reader into the long tail of Amazon's catalog.”


Benjamin Vershbow, a researcher at the Institute for the Future of the Book,”…sees Amazon's data mining as part of a trend on the web where sites are
learning to weave data sources together to create a new web experience.”

Someone, and it won't be a newspaper or magazine
publisher, will see an opportunity to do the same thing with our
archives.  No, Lexis-Nexis is just a warehouse.  Valuable,
but not much added value.

Ethics of Journalists
May 5th, 2005 by JTJ

Our friend Barbara Semonche, news researcher extraordinaire, makes the following post to the NewLib listserv:

If our NewsLib subscribers
are interested in the fulltext of the Coleman and Wilkins research on
journalists' ethics (published in the Autumn 2004 issue of Journalism
& Mass Communication Quarterly) here is the direct


URL: http://www.aejmc.org/pubs/jmcqaut04/coleman.pdf



     “Makes for
rather provocative reading in some respects. An example: this research
mentions two variables — investigative reporting and civic journalism
— as having been linked to moral development in journalists in
qualitative work. The  researchers in their literature review
mention
studies that have
shown investigative  reporters to make moral decisions regarding
wrongdoing then abandon objectivity to push for public good, serve as
moral judges, and deal with ethical issues more than other types of
reporters. Hmmmmmm.”







Analyzing Racial Profiling
May 5th, 2005 by JTJ

One
of the things we've learned in the past decade is that journalists and
police departments often are asking the same questions and use — or
could use — many of the same methods to analyze data.  In fact,
we would argue that crime analysts and criminologists are doing some of
the best work in the social sciences today. 


One of
the issues of import to both professions is racial profiling.  A
recent publication from the U.S. Dept. of Justice suggests some methods
for analyzing the that data.




A Suggested Approach to Analyzing Racial
Profiling: Sample Templates for Analyzing Car-Stop Data

Source: U.S. Department of Justice, Office
of Community Oriented Policing Services

A Suggested Approach to Analyzing Racial
Profiling: Sample Templates for Analyzing Car-Stop Data
(PDF; 468 KB)

Decisions regarding the merits of
racial profiling concerns are important and should not be based on either
anecdotal evidence or incomplete analysis. Evaluating the extent and nature of
police profiling patterns may lead to decisions regarding proper training and
appropriate police tactics. It is crucial that such evaluations rely on
appropriate methodological approaches, objectively obtained data, and
appropriate benchmarks or comparison guidelines.



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